Tsubetsu 7-Day Snow Forecast

Tsubetsu Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

GFS

JMA

PROSubscribe to Switch Weather Model

Updated 13 November 2026 03:41 UTC

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 13 November.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Tsubetsu?

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast Highlights - JMA
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (718m)
Next Snow Expected	16 November
Next Snow Amount	3cm 1in
Next 48 Hours	- -
Next 7 Days	4cm 2in

Long-range Snow Outlook for Tsubetsu

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 12℃ 53°F
Min -4℃ 24°F

10cm 4in New Snow

Snow Line from 644m 2,113ft to resort level ( 490m 1,608ft ).

Tsubetsu Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu from OpenMeteo(JMA)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Fri 13	Clear sky.	Max 12℃ 53°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Sat 14	Fair.	Max 10℃ 49°F Min -1℃ 29°F
Sun 15	Fair.	Max 7℃ 44°F Min -2℃ 28°F
Mon 16	1cm to 5cm up to 2in New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 536m 1,759ft to resort level ( 490m 1,608ft ).	Max 2℃ 35°F Min -4℃ 25°F
Tue 17	Fair.	Max -1℃ 30°F Min -4℃ 24°F
Wed 18	1cm to 4cm up to 2in New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 644m 2,113ft to resort level ( 490m 1,608ft ).	Max 12℃ 53°F Min -4℃ 24°F
Thu 19	Fair.	Max 10℃ 50°F Min -2℃ 29°F

This Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu, Japan gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Tsubetsu, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast updated at 03:41 UTC, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Tsubetsu, Japan at 490m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Japan Accommodation (Apartments, Chalets, Hotels) Map

How reliable is the snow in Tsubetsu?

Tsubetsu enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snow depth of 150 cm during peak season. Regular snowfall ensures excellent skiing throughout the winter; check J2Ski for the latest snow updates and conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Tsubetsu

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Tsubetsu, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.