Thredbo 7-Day Snow Forecast

Thredbo Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 17 October 2026 01:43 UTC

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Thredbo

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 17 October.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Thredbo Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Thredbo?

Thredbo Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,648m)
Next Snow Expected	27 October
Next Snow Amount	2cm 1in
Next 48 Hours	- -
Next 7 Days	- -

Long-range Snow Outlook for Thredbo

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 19℃ 65°F
Min 1℃ 33°F

Snow unlikely

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Thredbo Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Thredbo from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sat 17	Clear sky.	Max 17℃ 62°F Min 7℃ 45°F
Sun 18	Light snow at altitude, light rain below.	Max 16℃ 61°F Min 5℃ 41°F
Mon 19	Clear sky.	Max 16℃ 60°F Min 5℃ 40°F
Tue 20	Light snow at altitude, light rain below.	Max 16℃ 61°F Min 6℃ 42°F
Wed 21	Cloudy at altitude, light drizzle below.	Max 17℃ 62°F Min 6℃ 43°F
Thu 22	Clear sky.	Max 19℃ 66°F Min 8℃ 46°F
Fri 23	Light drizzle.	Max 17℃ 62°F Min 8℃ 45°F

This Snow Forecast for Thredbo, Australia gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Thredbo, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Thredbo Snow Forecast updated at 01:43 UTC, next update expected 04:00 UTC.

Ensemble forecast for Thredbo, Australia at 1,365m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

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How reliable is the snow in Thredbo?

Thredbo enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snowfall of 3.5 meters annually and a snow depth that typically ranges between 1 to 2 meters during the peak season. To stay updated on the latest snow conditions, be sure to check information on J2Ski.

Off-Piste Safety in Thredbo

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Thredbo, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.