Mount Cheeseman 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Cheeseman Long-Range Snow Forecast

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Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman

This is the Long-range (10, 14 and 45 day)Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman from 20 January.

Updated 20 January 2026 08:13 UTC.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Cheeseman?

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,707m)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Mount Cheeseman.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Cheeseman

Snowfall

Snow Line

1cm New Snow

Snow Line from 1,632m 5,354ft to 1,617m 5,305ft , with rain below.

Mount Cheeseman has up to 1cm - new snow forecast in the next 14 days.*
ECMWF IFS - at altitude

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Mount Cheeseman Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 20	Cloudy.	Max 10℃ 50°F Min 3℃ 37°F
Wed 21	Drizzle.	Max 9℃ 48°F Min 1℃ 34°F
Thu 22	Rain.	Max 14℃ 56°F Min 6℃ 44°F
Fri 23	Fair.	Max 11℃ 52°F Min 5℃ 42°F
Sat 24	Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below.	Max 7℃ 45°F Min 2℃ 36°F
Sun 25	Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below.	Max 8℃ 47°F Min 2℃ 36°F
Mon 26	Rain showers.	Max 14℃ 56°F Min 1℃ 35°F

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Cheeseman, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast updated at 08:13 UTC, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Cheeseman, New Zealand at 1,540m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Mount Cheeseman typically enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snowfall of 3-5 meters each season. For the latest snow reports and conditions, check J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Cheeseman

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Cheeseman, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.