Whakapapa 7-Day Snow Forecast

Whakapapa Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

GEM

GFS

PROSubscribe to Switch Weather Model

Updated 16 July 2026 19:40 UTC

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Whakapapa

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 16 July.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Whakapapa Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Whakapapa?

Whakapapa Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,965m)
Next Snow Expected	16 July
Next Snow Amount	1cm -
Next 48 Hours	1cm -
Next 7 Days	6cm 2in

Long-range Snow Outlook for Whakapapa

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 5℃ 41°F
Min -1℃ 30°F

9cm 3in New Snow

Snow Line from 1,892m 6,207ft to resort level ( 1,630m 5,348ft ).

Whakapapa Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Whakapapa from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Thu 16	up to 1cm New Snow Light snow at altitude, drizzle below. Snow Line from 1,876m 6,155ft to 1,784m 5,853ft , with rain below.	Max 3℃ 38°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Fri 17	Clear sky.	Max 5℃ 41°F Min -1℃ 30°F
Sat 18	Clear spells.	Max 3℃ 37°F Min 0℃ 32°F
Sun 19	Cloudy.	Max 5℃ 40°F Min -1℃ 30°F
Mon 20	1cm to 4cm up to 1in New Snow Light snow. Snow Line from 1,753m 5,751ft to resort level ( 1,630m 5,348ft ).	Max 2℃ 36°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Tue 21	1cm to 3cm up to 1in New Snow Snow at altitude, rain showers below. Snow Line from 1,892m 6,207ft to resort level ( 1,630m 5,348ft ).	Max 3℃ 38°F Min 0℃ 31°F
Wed 22	up to 1cm New Snow Cloudy. Snow falling to resort level ( 1,630m 5,348ft ).	Max 3℃ 37°F Min -1℃ 30°F

This Snow Forecast for Whakapapa, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Whakapapa, on any given piste or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Whakapapa Snow Forecast updated at 19:40 UTC, next update expected 22:00 UTC.

Ensemble forecast for Whakapapa, New Zealand at 1,630m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Forecast near Whakapapa

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Whakapapa
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day	Th	Fr	Sa	Su	Mo	Tu	We
Mount Ruapehu	1cm 1in	9cm 3in
Tukino	-	4cm 1in

Snow Reliability

Whakapapa enjoys a reliable snow season, typically from June to October, with average snow depths ranging from 1 to 3 meters. For the latest snow conditions and forecasts, check J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Whakapapa

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Whakapapa, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.