Messages posted by : admin
8) How was the Schnapps? |
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Yes they do, and J2Ski can confidently predict that people who can do things well - and enjoy doing them - will carry on doing them... see swallow-tail snowboards, monoskis, snow-scooters, sportscars without traction control, etc... 8) No idea what relevance that has to anything TBH, but let's get back on topic... Obergurgl are reporting they had 10cm overnight (on the mountain) and it's clearly still snowing. Our forecast has revised to 8cm expected today, v.light snow tomorrow and a further fall on Wednesday. Elsewhere... there's been shedloads of snow all over everywhere! 8) |
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And from a quick scan of what's going on this evening, and the latest forecasts for tonight (snow), I'd be surprised if places like the Aravis and Portes du Soleil aren't getting close to double what we were forecasting a few days ago.
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Nice pic Gareth, I think I've turned completely green...
Another fan of Courmayeur here; been there a few times and always some good skiing to be had. |
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Well let's see what actually falls? I notice Obergurgl's site appears to have taken down the statement they had earlier that there would be no snow of note for 4 days (I forget the exact wording). If you look at our 48 hour forecast it shows clear skies early doors (today) with snow later. The skies were clear first thing this morning, but check the webcams; certainly looks like it's about to snow, if it isn't already :- https://www.obergurgl.com/panorama-cams-winter If you look at the lovely visualizations of the model outputs on Ventusky (go to https://www.ventusky.com/?p=46.9;11.0;5&l=rain-ac&t=20170205/21&m=gem ), and put Obergurgl in as a location, you can see that it's on the edge of the current weather system pushing up from the South but does look likely to get regular light falls of snow over the next few days (as shown in our forecast). Maybe it won't run exactly like that, but it's what the forecast models are going for right now. As you probably know, there's a lot of snow happening right now. We've sent out a lot of powder alarms but, if anything, it looks as if we've been under-forecasting the snow currently falling across much of The Alps. Here are some examples from my own Inbox of the last few days... I got powder alarms this morning for Tignes (18cm over 2 days) and Les Deux Alpes (24cm over 2 days). Looking at the webcams, they both look as if they've had close to - or more than - that already today (with more to come overnight and tomorrow) :- http://www.les2alpes.com/en/webcams.html https://tignes.roundshot.com/lac/ I also got an alarm on Friday for Alpe d'Huez (23cm over 2 days), and they're reporting 40cm fresh already by this morning ( https://twitter.com/alpedhuez?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw ). We don't claim they're perfect, and we state repeatedly that anything beyond 48 hours is "subject to significant change and variable reliability". That's just the state of the science. And if you get our daily updates (and not just the powder alarms), you'll regularly see "there is no significant snow in the forecast" when that's the case... YMMV, and there are some locations the models sometimes struggle with (e.g. Serre Chevalier seems to have a climate all of it's own occasionally) but the locations I monitor don't seem too far off the mark. |
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Looking good there Mr Volf; how's the skiing?
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Certainly on the decline in recent years, for all the reasons in the OP I think.
But I wonder if we'll see a resurgence if it does become rare and hence "cool" again? Or perhaps it's destined to become a niche like monoskis? |
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Good point, well made Mr. Beep... TVM. |
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